This study investigated the effect of financial prices on CBN policy decisions between 2000 to 2018 by measuring the relationship between bond price level in Nigeria and CBN monetary decision policies (Monetary Policy Rate, Cash Reserve Ratio & Liquidity Ratio). In order to achieve this set objective, the study applied the methodology of Simple Linear Regression. The summary statistics shows that the probability value of the Jarque-Bera test statistics is greater than the critical value, implying that the data for the study is normally distributed The results of the empirical estimates revealed that bond price has a positive effect on monetary policy rate and the effect and the effect is statistically significant (p<0.05). This means that a unit increase in Bond Price will lead to increase in MPR by a margin of 68%. The result of the Simple Linear regression analysis shows that bond price has a positive effect on Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) and the effect is not statistically significant (p>0.05). This means that a unit increase in Bond Price will lead to increase in MPR by a margin of 34.00%. The result of the Simple Linear regression analysis shows that bond price has a positive effect on monetary policy rate and the effect and the effect is statistically significant (p<0.05). On this basis, it is recommended that policy reforms, which would help reduce the influence of the informal financial sector, be implemented. This would enhance the influence of the central monetary authority in the financial sector, and by implication, reduce the fluctuation of bond price which is affected by the several stochastic factors operating in the economy.
Bernanke, B. and Kuttner, N. (2005). What Explains the Stock Market‘s Reaction to the Federal Reserve Policy? The Journal of Finance, 60: 1221-1257.
Brogaard, J., Hendershott, T. and Riordan, R. (2014). High frequency trading and price discovery. Working paper http://ssrn.com/abstract=1928510
Campbell, J. (1991). A Variance Decomposition for Stock Returns. The Economic Journal, 101: 157–179.
Cassola, N. and Morana, C. (2004). Monetary Policy and Stock Market in the Euro Area. Journal of Policy Modeling 26: 387 – 399.
CBN. (2014). Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin, Volume 25. Retrieved September 18, 2015, from http://statistics.cbn.gov.ng/cbn-onlinestats
Chami, R., Cosimano, T. F and Fullenkamp, C. (1999), Capital Trading, Stock Trading, and the Inflation Tax on Equity, Review of Economic Dynamics 4(3):575-606.
Chiang, T.C. and Chiang, J.J. (1996). Dynamic Analysis of Stock Return Volatility in an Integrated International Capital Market. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 6: 5-17.
Fair, Ray C. (2002). Events that Shook the Market. Journal of Business, 75: 713 – 731.
Farka, M. (2008). The Volatility Impact of Policy Actions on Stocks and Treasuries: Analysis from Intraday Data, California State University, Fullerton, Working Paper.
Hong, W., (2009). Determinant of user acceptance of digital libraries: an empirical examination of individual differences and system characteristics. Journal of Management Information Systems, 18(3), 3-8.
Jensen, G., Mercer, J. and Johnson, R. (1996). Business Conditions, Monetary Policy, and Expected Security Returns. Journal of Financial Economics, 40: 213-237.
Mishkin, F. (2009). Is Monetary Policy Effective During Financial Crises? NBER Working Paper. 14678.
Odior, E. S. (2013). Monetary Policy, Bank Lending and Inflation in Nigeria: VAR Approach. Kashere Journal of Humanities, Management and Social Science, 1(1&2), 134-149.
Olusegun, A. et al. (2013). ‘Impact of Financial Sector Development on Nigerian Economic Growth’. American Journal of Business and Management 2(4): pp. 347-356.
Ongena, S., I. Vasso, and J. L. Peydró, 2009, Monetary policy, risk-taking and pricing: Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment. Discussion Paper 2009-31, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
Pennings, S. & Ramayandi, A. and Tang, H. C. (2011). The Impact of Monetary Policy on Financial Markets in Small Open Economies: More or Less Effective during the Global Financial Crisis?, Working Papers on Regional Economic Integration 72, Asian Development Bank.
Rigobon, R. and Sack B. (2003). Measuring the Reaction of Monetary Policy to the Stock Market. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 118: 639-669.
Rigobon, R. and Sack B. (2004). The Impact of Monetary Policy on Asset Prices. Journal of Monetary Economics, 51(8):1553-1575.
Thorbecke, W. (1997). On Stock Market Returns and Monetary Policy. Journal of Finance, 52: 635-654.
Usman, O. A., & Adejare, A. T. (2014). Impact of Monetary Policy on Industrial Growth in Nigeria. International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, 4(1), 18-31.
Wang, P., and Y. Wen, 2010, “Speculative Bubbles and Financial Crises,” American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, Vol. 4, No. 3, pp. 184-221.
In-Text Citation: (Emmanuel, Gloria, & Toryila, 2019)
To Cite this Article: Emmanuel, B., Gloria, C.-E. U., & Toryila, A. P. (2019). Effect of Financial Prices on CBN Policy Decisions 2000-2018. International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, 9(9), 196–209.
Copyright: © 2019 The Author(s)
Published by Human Resource Management Academic Research Society (www.hrmars.com)
This article is published under the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) license. Anyone may reproduce, distribute, translate and create derivative works of this article (for both commercial and non-commercial purposes), subject to full attribution to the original publication and authors. The full terms of this license may be seen at: http://creativecommons.org/licences/by/4.0/legalcode