International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences

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State Dependence and Fiscal Multipliers in Nigeria: An Empirical Analysis

Open access

Kehinde Oluwole Ola, Alfred Arekhandia Ukinamemen, Francis Oti Okoro, Mercy Eniola Onasanya

Pages 1247-1260 Received: 20 Dec, 2025 Revised: 10 Jan, 2026 Published Online: 31 Jan, 2026

http://dx.doi.org/10.46886/IJARBSS/v16-i1/20637
The study investigated the state- dependent effect of fiscal multipliers in Nigeria. We considered the performance of fiscal multipliers in the recession and, also during oil boom. Data for the study was drawn from 1985 to 2023 and employed the Fully Modified OLS, in order to correct the problem of serial correlation and endogenity. The finding showed that government spending exerted statistical and economically impact on the economy. Similarly, the finding of the study showed that there is strong Keynesian effect during recession and oil boom. Lastly, the finding showed that oil boom has not significantly affected the economy. The study therefore recommended that there is need for fiscal discipline in Nigeria and strong formal institutions, in order to ensure that spending during recession and oil boom is properly channeled into productive activities.
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