International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences

search-icon

Determinants of Unemployment - Empirical Evidence from Commonwealth of Independent States

Open access
The purpose of this study is to make an overview of the unemployment situation in the Commonwealth of Independent Countries, realizing an analysis of the implemented policies, of the macroeconomic factors influencing its trends in the last 20 years, using specialized theories and research papers. This study uses simple and multiple regression analysis of a balanced panel data set to validate the relationship between unemployment and numerous factors of interest. Findings are robust, considering multiple testing on various axis, such as changing the dependent variable unemployment with a similar proxy and adding other control variables. Our results help the assessment of the general degree and relationship between various factors, shaping the evolution of unemployment, which might be useful for policymakers as well as for regular individuals, who want to understand better why unemployment is sharp in this area. Still, the analysed relationships cannot sufficiently help improving the great problem posed by unemployment in these countries, as there are multiple nuances, micro- and macro-economic factors that make the overall state of the economy very unstable, hence difficult to predict, leaving avenue for future research directions of ours.
Abduvaliev, M., & Bustillo, R. (2020). Impact of remittances on economic growth and poverty reduction amongst CIS countries. Post-Communist Economies, 32(4), 525-546.
Anson J. (1991), Demographic Indices as Social Indicators Planification A: Economy and space; 23(3):433-446. doi:10.1068/a230433
Anyanwu, J. C. (2010). Do international remittances affect poverty in Africa? African Development Review. 22(1), pp. 51-91
Currie, J., & Schwandt, H. (2014). Short-and long-term effects of unemployment on fertility. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 111(41), 14734-14739.
Dobronogov Anton. (2003), „Social protection in low income CIS countries”, Lucerne Conference of the CIS-7 Initiative
Dugarova, E. (2016). A new social protection model in the CIS countries: From social assistance to labour activation. In International Symposium “Social Protection Systems–Tying the Knots”. Bonn (pp. 5-6).
Farsio, F., and Quade, S. (2003), "An Empirical Analysis of the Relationship Between GDP and Unemployment", Humanomics, Vol. 19 No. 3, pp. 1-6.
https://doi.org/10.1108/eb018884
Forcier, M. W. (1988). Unemployment and alcohol abuse: a review. Journal of occupational medicine, 246-251.
Goldin, N. (2015). Key considerations in youth workforce development. Center for Strategic and International Studies.
Halliday, T. J. (2014). Unemployment and mortality: Evidence from the PSID. Social Science & Medicine, 113, 15-22.
Hair, J. F., Black, W. C., Babin, B. J., and Anderson, R. E. (2010) Multivariate Data Analysis. 7th Edition, Pearson, New York.
Heleniak, T. (2004). Migra?ia diasporei ruse dup? destr?marea Uniunii Sovietice. Journal of International Affairs , 57 (2), 99–117.
Izyumov, A., & Vahaly, J. (2002). The unemployment–output tradeoff in transition economies: Does Okun's law apply?. Economics of Planning, 35(4), 317-331.Jovanovic, B., & Petreski, M. (2014). Monetary policy, exchange rates and labor unions in SEE and the CIS during the financial crisis. Economic Systems, 38(3), 309-332.
Kartseva, M. A. (2002) „Durata ?omajului în Rusia.: Înv???mîntul superior reduce ?omajul?” – Moscova, ?coala Nou? Economic?, Working paper # BSP/2002/058
Melkumyan, A. S. (2005). UNEMPLOYMENT AND ACTIVE EMPLOYMENT POLICY. ANNALS OF AGRARIAN SCIENCE, 3(3), 224-228.
Mincer, J. (1991) „Education and unemployment” NBER Working Paper No. w3838
Okun, A. M. (1962) „Potential GNP: Its Measurement and Significance.” In Proceedings of the Business and Economic Statistics Section of the American Statistical Association. Alexandria, VA. American Statistical Association, 89-104.
Pavlova, O., & Rohozynsky, O. (2005). Labor markets in CIS countries. CASE Studies and Analyses, (311).
Pilarski, A. M. (2014). " Does Population Growth Cause Unemployment, or Economic Development, or Both?". Population and Development in Poor Countries: Selected Essays, Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2014, pp. 289-316.
Siegelbaum, L. H. (2004). The condition of labor in post-soviet Russia: A ten-year retrospective. Social Science History, 28(4), 637-665.
Simai, M. (2006). Poverty and inequality in Eastern Europe and the CIS transition economies.
Tsaurai, K. (2020). Investigating personal remittances-unemployment-inequality nexus in emerging markets. Euro Economica, 39(1), 113-127.
Haq, W. (2012) “How can urbanization be the cause of unemployment across the world?” Conference: Emerging issues of Social Sciences in Pakistan
Philips, W. (1958) “The Relation between Unemployment and the Rate of Change of Money Wage Rates in the United Kingdom, 1861-1957”, Quaterly journal Economica
Yang, B., & Lester, D. (2000). An exploration of the impact of culture on the economy: an empirical study of unemployment. The Journal of Socio-Economics, 29(3), 281-290.
Sato, Y., & Zenou, Y. (2014) How urbanization affects Employment and Social Interactions; Lucrarea de discu?ie nr. 7914
Kommersant article. (2021) “Back in the USSR: Are Residents of Former Republics Better Off 30 Years Later?” ; accessed on 15.04.2022
Daugherty. (2022), How the Minimum Wage Impacts Unemployment, Investopedia Article, accessed on 1.03.2022
OECD article. (2013) Migration picking up but rising unemployment hurting immigrants, accessed at 4.02.2022.
World Employment Social Outlook Trends for Women. (2018), presentation at Global Snapshot, International Labor Organization 2018.
In-Text Citation: (Ligia & Daria, 2022)
To Cite this Article: Ligia, V. V., & Daria, S. (2022). Determinants of Unemployment - Empirical Evidence from Commonwealth of Independent States. International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, 12(10), 1964– 1990.